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Stock Watch: ATP Stars Rising, Falling Before the US Open

Aug 24th 2014

The final Grand Slam of the season has arrived, and it is one of the most wide open US Open men’s fields in years. Here is a look at players who may rise to the occasion in New York, and those who may disappoint.

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5: Marcos Baghdatis

The veteran Cypriot won two hard-court Challengers this summer on the USTA Pro Circuit, and enters the US Open as an experienced and overlooked player. He will have a tough ask with No. 14 seed Marin Cilic as his opening-round opponent, but he does have a previous hard-court win against the Croat and may be able to rise to the occasion to pull off the upset. Even if Baghdatis comes up short, he probably won’t go out easily against Cilic.

4: David Goffin

Goffin has gotten himself back to ATP status and his incredible 25-match win streak was snapped in the quarterfinals of Winston-Salem. The undersized Belgian has rediscovered his form and very well could threaten No. 7 seed Grigor Dimitrov in the third round. Dimitrov will still be favored, but if the Bulgarian slips up, Goffin could have another memorable second-week run at a Grand Slam.

Gael Monfils

3: Gael Monfils

Monfils has lost matches in three sets to both Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer this summer, but he otherwise is healthy and grooving going into the US Open. He came up just short in both of those matches, and his form should be enough to get him into the quarterfinals for a rematch with Federer. Monfils will likely have to get through No. 12 seed Richard Gasquet and Dimitrov (or Goffin) en route.

2: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga

The Toronto champion had a bevy of top-10 wins at the Rogers Cup and is back in the conversation of elite players who could challenge for the title for the first time in years. Tsonga should be able to beat Andy Murray, as he did in Toronto, and get to the quarterfinals for a rematch with Djokovic. In a best-of-five format, the advantage swings to the world No. 1, but Tsonga defeated Novak in Toronto and can’t be ruled out to do so again.

1: Milos Raonic

He won the US Open Series, along with a title in DC, and has been a consistent top-five competitor all season long. Milos has a great chance to reach the semifinals, since a round of 16 meeting with Kei Nishikori or Jack Sock is entirely a winnable proposition, given that he has beaten both players before. A quarterfinal against Stan Wawrinka or Tommy Robredo is also not a daunting challenge for the Manitoba missile. Rested and in form, Raonic seems ready to rise to the occasion.

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5: Mikhail Youzhny

Youzhny has always played well in New York, where he has twice been a semifinalist and was a quarterfinalist last year. But a first-round meeting with young gun Nick Kyrgios could spell trouble for the Russian. Since he has struggled all season to play well consistently, Kyrgios should knock him out in the opening round. Otherwise, Vasek Pospisil or Tommy Robredo should do so in round 3.

4: Ivo Karlovic

Karlovic has struggled this summer, and his usual consistency in reaching the second or third round of Grand Slams may be in danger this time. He opens with the veteran Finnish lefty Jarkko Nieminen, who has struggled this season but may have found a boost in form in Winston-Salem. The Finn should upset the No. 25 seed and keep Karlovic from meeting Roger Federer in round 3.

Tomas Berdych

3: Tomas Berdych

Berdych has a friendly draw and still may go deep, but his game seems to be declining. One of Lleyton Hewitt, Martin Klizan, Santiago Giraldo, or Ernests Gulbis should knock him out before the quarterfinals. Hewitt may have one last top-10 win left in the tank, Klizan and Giraldo are streaky shot-makers, and Gulbis defeated Berdych at the French Open, even though he’s mercurial. Berdych is not a trustworthy player at the moment.

2: John Isner

Isner has continually struggled to stay healthy and hurt his ankle yet again in Winston-Salem. He actually has a very comfortable draw and could make the fourth round to meet Djokovic, but he could also withdraw, or get shockingly upset by his first-round opponent Marcos Giron or second-round opponent Mikhail Kukushkin. Rival Philipp Kohlschreiber, who defeated Isner in each of the last two US Opens, awaits him in round 3 for the third straight year. Ankle injuries are hard to predict, but for a tall player who relies on his serve and forehand, setting his feet is critical for Isner to be successful.

1: Richard Gasquet

Gasquet pulled out of Toronto with an abdominal strain. That’s a difficult injury to shake, and he’s struggled to stay healthy all season. Injuries have affected his form in the past, and Denis Istomin is not the easiest of round 1 opponents. Perhaps dark horse qualifier Yoshihito Nishioka could prove trouble in round 2 if Gasquet pulls through against Istomin, and certainly Gael Monfils should be able to score the upset in round 3.