Don't miss any stories Follow Tennis View

Previewing Halep-Keys, Murray-Kyrgios at Wimbledon

Jul 3rd 2016

It is Manic Monday at Wimbledon, the greatest day in tennis.  There are plenty of exciting matches on offer as the top seeds begin to clash and settle in to the business end of the tournament.  One of the clashes is between Simona Halep and Madison Keys.  They are two talented women, each seeking her first major title, and one of them will be able to continue that search here at Wimbledon.  

Simona Halep

Halep has been closer to securing a major singles title.  She finished runner-up at Roland Garros two years ago, and she has a couple of other semifinal finishes to her name, including one here at Wimbledon.  Injuries and increased expectations made it difficult for her to find consistency in her results last year, but the former No. 2 has been relatively solid in 2016.  She put together deep runs at Indian Wells and Miami and won the title in Madrid.  With improvements made to her game under the tutelage of Darren Cahill, she is hopeful of making a breakthrough run here in London.

Young American Keys is also keen to make a breakthrough, and there is no shortage of analysts who believe that it is just a matter of time before she eventually grabs her first major crown. At age 21, she is already in the top 10, reaching No. 9 this past month.  She had an impressive run to the semifinals of the Australian Open last season, and she has followed it up with some other noteworthy results, including a finalist appearance in Rome earlier this year.  If ever there were a place for her to capture her first major title, though, it would be here at Wimbledon.  She has won two titles in her burgeoning career, and both have come on the grass, including a few weeks ago in Birmingham.

Madison Keys

It is not surprising that Keys should enjoy so much success on the grass.  She is one of the biggest ball-strikers on tour with a huge first serve to go along with her penetrating groundstrokes.  The grass rewards her power and ultra-aggressive style of play, and since the points tend to be shorter, her lack of consistency and mediocre defensive skills are less exposed.  The onus is going to be on Halep to find a way to take Keys out of her comfort zone.  One way to do that is to have a good serving day.  She is also going to have to take risks when she gets a look at the American's second delivery to immediately put her on the defensive.  And Halep's anticipation skills and willingness to step in and change the direction of the ball are going to be crucial to her chances of success.

Belief is also going to be a necessity for success, and neither woman should be lacking in this department.  Halep has been here a little more often and enjoyed more overall success to this juncture in time.  On the other hand, this is the first match Keys has played this tournament where she has the freedom of being the underdog.  She came in hot on the heels of her win in Birmingham, and given her past success, she has to feel good about her chances any time she sets foot on a grass court.  Then again, Keys has lost at this hurdle in her last three majors and cannot allow those results to plant seeds of doubt in her mind, nor can she allow herself to get frustrated if Halep gets back a lot of balls.  Likewise, Halep must not get down herself when she commits an error or Keys hits a winner.  She needs to stay focused on the process and the big picture, since only that will see her through to victory.

All told, this is a tight one to call.  Keys was a popular dark horse pick by many and for good reason.  She has a great game for this surface, and she is capable of taking the match out of the hands of numerous players, including Halep.  If she plays her best, a spot in the quarterfinals is hers.  But Halep has added improvements to her game.  She has the experience, she has the tenacity, and she has gotten the better of players more accomplished than Keys.  It could be close and could go either way, but based on their play at the tournament thus far, the ever-so-slight nod goes to Halep.

Andy Murray

Well, it was the fourth-round match everyone anticipated and hoped for.  Home favorite Andy Murray will take on Nick Kyrgios for a spot in the Wimbledon quarterfinals.  They are competitors with a lot of variety and exceptional defensive skills.  They are also two of the more fiery personalities on tour, so irrespective of the outcome, it is a virtual certainty that there will be fireworks before this one is over.

It is no secret the level of experience and momentum that Murray is bringing to the table.  He is the No. 2 player in the world and in addition to numerous Masters shields, is also a two-time major singles champion and an Olympic Gold Medalist.  He has been very impressive in 2016 too.  Outside of some early losses in March, he has reached the semifinals or better of every event that he has entered.  He reached the final of the last two majors and is keen to go one better here to add a second Wimbledon title to his collection.

Unlike Murray, Kyrgios has not yet firmly staked his place in the sport, but there is a plethora of people who believe he soon will.  He has quickly earned himself a reputation as one of the most promising talents of the next generation.  It was at this venue in 2014 where he made the tennis world take notice with his shocking upset of Rafael Nadal, and he has only moved up from there.  The young Australian secured his first singles title earlier this season in Marseille and has twice been to the last eight of a major, with one of those two appearances coming here at Wimbledon.  He will not be shy about making a second trip there via an upset of the Scot.

Nick Kyrgios

Kyrgios has his work cut out for him, however.  It is not that he is lacking in weapons.  He has a bigger first serve and goes for more on his second.  He has a fair amount of variety in his game and plays more than decently at the net.  He can effectively pull the trigger from either wing and is most certainly the more explosive shot-maker.  As phenomenal as his arsenal is, though, Murray has proven to be a tough match-up for him.  He gets more than enough pop off his own groundstrokes and serve to hold his own.  Furthermore, Murray owns the better return, and he is a bit better and more tactically sound on the defensive.  Thus, the Scot is virtually impossible to hit through and is apt to frustrate Kyrgios.

Kyrgios has had plenty of frustration in the past against Murray, as evidenced by Murray leading 4-0 in their head-to-head.  Three of those meetings came last year at the Australian Open, Roland Garros, and the US Open, and it was only at the US Open where Kyrgios managed to take a set from him.  If the 15th seed wants to get on the board in this rivalry, he has to be more patient and more mentally stable.  He still goes off the boil too frequently, and Murray is the last opponent one wants to play with that kind of temperament.  He has to rein that in and show Murray he is in it for the long haul.

As for Murray, he has been here so often, so the occasion is unlikely to faze him.  What could make Murray's approach intriguing, though, is how he is feeling now that he is the clear favorite to win a major for the first time in his career.  Murray has wisely said that the early exit of Novak Djokovic has no bearing on his tournament unless he reaches the final.  But Djokovic's early loss has to have every man in the draw feeling new levels of optimism, Murray included.  He lost to the Serb in the last two major finals, so it would be surprising if he were not feeling a little extra pressure to make the most of the situation.  He just has to avoid allowing any extra pressure to have a negative impact on his game.

If Murray can do that, he ought to advance on Monday.  Kyrgios should be able to make it entertaining.  He will not be intimidated in the least, and if Murray is even slightly off, the Australian could make him pay for it.  But Murray has so much experience, so much momentum, and right now, enjoys such a favorable match-up against Kyrgios.  As long as he plays within himself, he gets through this one.